Mortgage REITs: What They Are and Aren't
Mortgage real-estate investment trusts, which have
operated in relative obscurity for decades, have emerged center stage in the
debate over the Federal Reserve's strategy to stimulate the economy.
Some policy makers, including Fed governor Jeremy Stein,
have pointed to the explosive growth of mortgage REITs as an example of risks
emerging in the economy as a result of the Fed holding down interest rates.
The assets of mortgage REITs ballooned to $426 billion in
the third quarter of 2012 from $111.5 billion at the end of 2009, according to
SNL Financial.
The concern has raised questions about the recent
performance of mortgage REITs, their current health and whether they pose any
possible risk for the broader economy.
Here are some answers:
Q: What are mortgage REITs?
Mortgage REITs are niche financial stocks that have been
around since the REIT industry was established in 1960. These REITs don't buy
office buildings or malls but invest in real-estate debt. Some used to make
loans but now primarily buy commercial and residential mortgage-backed
securities. Many of the 33 existing mortgage REITs currently focus on buying
mortgage securities guaranteed by Freddie Mac FMCC +34.44%and Fannie Mae, FNMA +35.59%which are government-backed financial
firms.
Q: How do mortgage REITs make money?
They borrow money using short-term debt and use the funds
to buy longer-term mortgage securities, earning the spread between the rates.
They also use leverage to boost their returns.
Q: Why is the Fed's stimulus policy creating a mortgage-REIT boom?
The Fed is keeping short-term interest rates low to
stimulate the economy. This is greatly reducing mortgage REIT borrowing costs,
enabling them to make more money off their bond portfolio. REITs that purchase
Freddie and Fannie debt currently pay dividends of about 12%, compared with
3.4% for equity REITs and 1.8% for U.S. Treasury bonds. Low rates are driving
investors into instruments such as REITs that promise high returns. Overall,
mortgage REITs have raised $30 billion in equity during the past two years to
buy cheap mortgage debt.
Q: Should I call my broker?
Be careful. The Fed's economic-stimulus plan has been a
double-edged sword for mortgage REITs. While short-term rates have lowered
funding costs for the REITs, the Fed's $80 billion monthly purchases of
mortgage securities—part of its quantitative-easing program—has pushed mortgage
bond prices higher and yields lower. As a result, some REITs have been less
profitable and have seen declines in dividends and stock prices over the past
six months.
Q: What is the larger danger?
Fed officials are concerned about their funding model.
During the 2008 crisis, financial institutions that depended on short-term debt
were prone to investor panics. They also face risk if interest rates rise, a
likely outcome when the Fed slows down quantitative easing. That would increase
the short-term borrowing costs of mortgage REITs and cut the value of the
mortgage bonds that they hold, possibly resulting in losses.
Q: Does this pose a risk for the broader economy?
Probably not. Mortgage REITs pose no systemic economic
threat because the sector is still a small player in financial markets despite
its rapid growth. Mortgage REITs represent less than 10% of the nearly $7
trillion securitized residential and commercial mortgage market. But there are
numerous other investment vehicles that also have seen rapid growth because of
the Fed's interest-rate policies, such as the junk-bond market. If all of these
vehicles suffer big losses at the same time, there is more systemic risk.
Q: What do mortgage REITs say about the Fed's concerns?
Mortgage REIT executives say they are protected against
these future pitfalls. They say they aren't as highly leveraged as they were
before the financial crisis. REIT executives also say they are significantly
hedged against a rise in interest rates by using interest rate swaps. Mortgage
REITs focused on Fannie and Freddie debt point out that they survived other
spikes in short-term rates. Unlike the market for some mortgage debt, such as
bonds backed by subprime loans, they point out that the market for government-secured
debt has never collapsed.
Q: Why are analysts still skeptical?
Analysts say that hedging tools may not be able to offset
a steep drop in bond prices that may occur if the Fed halts its bond-buying
program. Although companies can reinvest at lower bond prices, that will depend
on having enough capital left over from covering potential losses on bond
prices.
Q: Have mortgage REITs attracted other regulatory scrutiny?
In 2011, the Securities and Exchange Commission launched
a review of mortgage REITs to determine if these companies should remain
unregulated companies or be subjected, like mutual funds, to the Investment Act
of 1940. Companies that invest the majority of their assets in real estate have
always been exempted from the Investment Act. It appeared the SEC was looking
at whether a distinction should be made between REITs that manage and operate
real estate versus those that invest in real-estate securities. But the SEC
hasn't pursued the matter.—Jon Hilsenrath contributed to this article.
A
version of this article appeared March 6, 2013, on page C6 in the U.S. edition
of The Wall Street Journal, with the headline: Mortgage REITs: What They Are
and Aren't.
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